The Apertura 2025 season features a significant clash between Chivas and Atlas in the highly anticipated Clásico Tapatío. This match is set to take place at the Estadio Akron in Guadalajara. The two teams enter the match with contrasting circumstances in the league standings.
Current Standings and Team Form
- Chivas Guadalajara: Currently in 8th place with 20 points. They recently suffered a defeat but boasted a streak of four consecutive victories prior to that.
- Atlas: Positioned 11th with 16 points. They find themselves outside of direct qualification spots and require a win to stay competitive for the next phase.
Betting Odds and Probabilities
Match Odds
According to the latest betting lines, Chivas Guadalajara is favored to win.
- Chivas Guadalajara: 176
- Draw: +310
- Atlas: +460
The odds indicate a strong preference for Chivas, with a likelihood of winning that prompts a payout reduction for bets on them. A victory for Atlas would be an upset, offering high returns for bettors.
Victory Probabilities
Based on the betting odds, the estimated probabilities for the match outcome are as follows:
- Chivas Guadalajara: 62% 64%
- Draw: 23% 25%
- Atlas: 17% 19%
These statistics reinforce Chivas’ strong chance of victory, while Atlas faces a challenging task in overcoming the odds.
Double Chance and Scoring Predictions
- Double Chance Chivas Guadalajara/Draw: 700
- Double Chance Chivas Guadalajara/Atlas: 550
- Double Chance Atlas/Draw: +135
Chivas’ double chance odds indicate lowpaying options for safe bets. Conversely, betting on “Atlas/Draw” offers a more attractive payout, albeit at a higher risk.
Will Both Teams Score?
The expectation is that both teams will score in this encounter. The odds of 154 suggest that Atlas, with 23 goals this season, may penetrate Chivas’ defense, which has conceded 19 goals.
Total Goals Prediction
- Over 2.5 goals: 143
- Under 2.5 goals: +110
Market trends favor the “Over 2.5 goals” option, indicating a strong likelihood of a match featuring three or more total goals.
Match Forecast
The match is anticipated to see Chivas take the initiative, propelled by home support. Meanwhile, Atlas will look to exploit counterattacks. Given the current form and home advantage, predictions suggest a likely score of 21 in favor of Chivas.